An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll's quality, sample size and recency Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump by double-digits among registered voters, according to a new poll by The New York Times and Siena College. None. In addition to the analysis of the media coverage of the early days of the Biden administration, this project, for the first time, includes a survey component designed to study Americans sense of the news coverage of the new administration based on their different media diets. New polls suggest Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024. The same share of stories about each president were neither positive nor negative (45% for both Biden and Trump). Nonvoters in 2020 were more closely divided on partisanship than they were in 2016. That stands in stark contrast to the 19% of stories with a negative assessment from outlets with left-leaning audiences and about a quarter of stories (24%) from outlets with a mixed audience. One new element of this years study in Part 2of this report is a survey component that measures Americans exposure to and sense of news coverage during this early time period, how that differs by media diet, and how it compares with the analysis of media content in Part 1. Getty Meanwhile in one Premise poll, Trump led the president 45 to 44. Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. Overall, there were shifts in presidential candidate support among some key groups between 2016 and 2020, notably suburban voters and independents. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. Only among members of the Silent Generation, ages 75 to 92 in 2020, was Trump clearly favored (by 58%-42%). Nonvoters citizens for whom no record of turnout could be located or who told us they did not vote preferred Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 15 percentage points, 50% to 35%, compared with Bidens 4-point overall advantage among voters. A Biden family member (not in the administration), Donald Trump, his family or former administration, A journalist (other than the reporter or anchor of the story) or news organization. In all, about three-quarters (78%) of their stories offered a negative assessment of the administration and its actions, with only 4% offering a positive assessment. Before I start, I will mention that Joe Biden has his own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. Biden made a mistake by putting the selection of a female running-mate ahead of choosing the best person for the job it looks like a pandering move The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other categories. For example, while the topic of the economy was covered most heavily by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. Rich Thau, the project coordinator, has released a lot of interesting comments by voters on these panels, although he admits his sample size is too small to represent a poll in its own right. If his decisions cause harm, he will be blamed for their effects The survey also asked how much Americans had heard about each of seven specific efforts and initiatives of the new administration. In 2016, Trump won White men by 30 points (62% to 32%). To be sure, Hispanic voters are not a monolith; there is substantial diversity within the Hispanic electorate. Trumps cabinet appears dishonest. The Democratic electorate is more evenly divided when it comes to education. This study classified stories into one of two main frames (whichever accounted for more than 50% of the story): For example, an article or segment about health care could be framed around the legislative differences in what the administration is proposing versus members of Congress (thus coded as core ideology and policy agenda). Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. Among independents and those who affiliated with other parties, Biden led Trump by 52%-43%. Sizable shares of voters across racial and ethnic subgroups cast absentee or mail-in ballots in the 2020 election though there are some differences in voting methods when comparing across groups. White non-Hispanic adults were 72% of voters in 2020 but just 55% of nonvoting citizens. That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black (2%). Four of the same subjects were among the top five most covered topics in the first months of both the Trump administration in 2017 and the Biden administration in 2021: health care, presidential appointees, immigration and political skills. The political split between Americas rural areas and its suburban and urban locales remained substantial in 2020. Most notably, both administrations have done devastating harm to millions of forcibly displaced people, who came here looking for safety and opportunity only to become victims of a system that has left them stranded and vulnerable. Read our research on: Congress | Economy | Gender. This growth of the market can be attributed to . Voters broadly want a national discussion on race, but they dislike having politicians running that discussion or setting the rules for it The claim: Joe Biden added more jobs in a single month than Donald Trump netted during his entire term. Turnout differences by race and ethnicity persisted as well. Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters' minds Biden is the "lesser of two evils" Trump's honesty appears challenged Trump "runs his mouth" too much (but he gets the job done) Trump looked immature by refusing to wear a mask for so long Trump's cabinet appears dishonest. President Trump repeated his claim that Joe Biden wants to ban fracking - the controversial process of drilling below ground and using high-pressure water to force out gas. Strength in my analysis will refer to positive qualities which the President possesses, Weakness will refer to negative qualities which damage his effectiveness in campaigning, Opportunities will refer to events and conditions which Trump can use to his advantage, and Threats will refer to events and conditions which could cost Trump support if he fails to address them properly. Biden looks stupid for attacking monuments and historical figures who are long gone Assessment of the Biden administration:In this analysis, each statement in a story (made by a source or the reporter him or herself) was analyzed to determine how, if at all, it assessed President Biden and his administrations actions or words. Some 2,000 migrants stranded on the southern border of Mexico demanded freedom of transit during President Biden's visit to the country. The Swing Voter Project contacts voters who voted in the 2012 and 2016 elections in key swing states. And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. At the same time, White voters with a college degree or higher supported Biden by roughly the same margin they had backed Clinton in 2016. Preferences were more evenly divided among those who cast their ballots in person ahead of Election Day: 52% voted for Trump while 47% voted for Biden. Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. The high-stakes defamation trial of Dominion Voting Systems vs. Fox News got underway in earnest, as attorneys sifted through potential jurors Tuesday a dozen at a time and were expected to seat a . Many people subjected to this policy often referred to by its shorthand, Title 42 have been stranded in or expelled to dangerous conditions in Mexico, or else swiftly returned to the unstable and sometimes life-threatening realities at home that many of them risked life and limb to escape. While the media landscape has changed dramatically since Clintons presidential inauguration, the Center has been able to conduct a long-term comparison for each of the recent administrations across a smaller subset of outlets and variables.2. See here to read more about the questions used for this reportand the reports methodology. Pew Research Center has studied news coverage of the start of each new administration since 1993, when Bill Clinton began his presidency. The comments by the voters, however, are direct evidence of the qualities I want to examine in my SWOT analysis. COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World, Grouping news outlets by their audience ideology, At 100 Day Mark: Coverage of Biden Has Been Slightly More Negative Than Positive, Varied Greatly by Outlet Type, coverage of former President Donald Trump, stopped federal funding for the border wall, coded as being about one of 47 specific topics, Next: 1. This way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. Still, a comparison of the 2017 data for the full 100 days and the first 60 days found only minimal percentage differences and no changes in the overall findings (see Appendix B for details.). Update (Oct. 22): Updated with Biden's plan to create a commission on overhauling the Supreme Court. Among outlets with a left-leaning audience, the assessment was a little more positive than negative (29% of stories vs. 19%), while 52% of stories were neither positive nor negative. The surveys are weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, turnout and vote choice in the three elections, and many other characteristics. Outlets with left-leaning or mixed audiences, on the other hand, gave greatest attention to the economy and to health care, each of which was the focus of 18% or more of stories for both media groups, while immigration amounted to 8% and 10% for each. But support for Biden among the unaffiliated was not quite as lopsided as Trumps support among White evangelicals (a 45-point margin for Biden among the unaffiliated vs. a 69-point margin for Trump among White evangelicals). There was virtually no difference in the frequency of those mentions across outlets with left-leaning audiences (50% of stories), outlets with right-leaning audiences (47% of stories) and outlets with a mixed audience (47% of stories). Donald Trump Victim Goes on MSNBC and CNN .. to Defend Trump! A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. (+1) 202-857-8562 | Fax Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. This right-oriented group was also about twice as likely as the left-oriented group to have heard a lot about immigration reform efforts (45% vs. 21%). Among the 5% of Democrats who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, just 8% supported Trump in 2020 while 85% voted for Biden. Now on to Trumps strengths, according to the voters: Voters think Trump did a great job with the economy with record low unemployment before the pandemic, and now were making a comeback While Biden took a 59% majority of the Hispanic vote, Trump (with 38%) gained significantly over the level of support Republican candidates for the House received in 2018 (25%). In 2020, Trump won 65% of White non-college voters nearly identical to his 2016 share even as Biden outperformed Clinton among this group (33% of White non-college voters backed Biden, up from the 28% of this group Clinton won in 2016). Finally, on the DOW Jones, Trump is at 33.85% compared to Biden at 8.78% a difference of 25.07%. The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. Vulnerable migrants were mounting an invasion, Trump said. Americans differ by news diet on which Biden administration issues get too much coverage, which get too little, 7. Biden, by contrast, drew strong support from religiously unaffiliated voters atheists, agnostics, and those who say their religion is nothing in particular. Together, these voters made up 25% of voters, which is a slightly larger share of the total electorate than White evangelicals (19%). This is important because The impeachment put a bad taste in the mouth of voters who now apply that to new conditions Members of Pew Research Centers nationally representative American Trends Panel were matched to public voting records from three national commercial voter files in an attempt to find a record for voting in the 2020 election. In the 2018 election, Democrats substantially narrowed the gap with men (50% of men voted for Democratic candidates, 48% for Republican candidates) while maintaining an 18-point lead among women. Americans who get news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences were most likely to say they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders (79%), nearly twice the share among those who turn only to outlets with left-leaning audiences (42%). A majority of absentee voters said they had previously voted this way before the 2020 election (56%). By contrast, older age groups divided fairly evenly between Biden and Trump, a result not too different from 2016. Bidens been in hiding After such public vitriol and humanitarian scandals, Joe Biden billed himself as the anti-Trump candidate who would restore honor and decency to the presidency, partly by building a fair and humane immigration system. PUNE, April 11, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Cannabis Extraction Market Scope is predictable . The 2020 general election featured the highest rate of voter turnout in more than a century, with 66% of eligible adults casting a ballot for president. US turns back growing number of undocumented people after arduous sea journeys, Love across the border: a couples 13-year quest to be reunited in the US, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. The areas of coverage people say they are getting most of from their main sources broadly align with the share of coverage devoted to each in Part 1. This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of the American Trends Panel. It also provides a comparison with findings from our previous studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates. Who's ahead in all? The surveys were supplemented with measures taken from annual recruitment and profile surveys conducted in 2018 and 2020. Prior to 2016, differences in candidate preferences by education were typically much smaller than they were that year. Notably, Boomers and Silents (and the very small number of voters from the Greatest Generation) made up less than half of the electorate in 2020 (44%), compared with just over half in both 2016 and 2018. White non-evangelical Protestants voted for Trump over Biden by a 14-point margin (57%-43%), while Black Protestants were an overwhelmingly Democratic group (91% voted for Biden). Passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the COVID-19 vaccine topped the list, with nearly eight-in-ten U.S. adults (77%) saying they had heard a lot about the stimulus package and 74% hearing a lot about vaccine distribution. Biden, by contrast, has stopped holding migrant families in Ice detention, so far. One other key difference was that in 2017 the new presidents political skills was the most covered topic, while it ranked fifth in 2021. There could be more than one source within any source category, such as quotes from two members of the administration. Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. Outlets with right-leaning audiences diverged from the other media groups in some types of sources they cited in stories about the Biden administration. Black voters were more likely than White or Hispanic voters to say they cast their ballot in person before Election Day (42% of Black voters, vs. 27% of Hispanic voters and 25% of White voters). The analysis of media content is based on a selection of media coverage collected from Jan. 21 to March 21, 2021. The survey also asked Americans which of these five issues is getting the most attention from their main news sources (rather than the news media overall). About two-thirds of Biden stories (65%) were framed around ideology and agenda, while about one-third (35%) focused on leadership and character. Trump . Some nuances emerge, though, within peoples media diets. Biden responded by attacking Trump for not having a clear health-care plan, despite promising that he would unveil it. Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. Overall, 65% of the stories were framed around the new presidents policy agenda and ideology, compared with 35% around character and leadership. A women in Texas protests against Title 42 during a march in solidarity with migrants coming to the border. Each news outlet in this study was placed in one of three groups based on the political profile of its audience (i.e., those respondents in the survey who reported getting political news from each outlet in the past week). In contrast, rural voters were more likely to report voting in person on Election Day. Younger adults continue to make up a larger share of Democratic voters compared with Republican voters. News outlets with right-leaning audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3. College graduates made up 39% of all voters in 2020 (about the same as in 2016) but only 17% of nonvoters. Bidens Pilosa Extract Market detailed analysis of a business is mainly covered by Application . Asian Americans (a relatively small but fast-growing group in the U.S.) made up 4% of voters and an identical share of nonvoting citizens (note: nonvoters in this analysis do not include noncitizens). 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